Poker Pre Flop Percentages
Odds Charts:Ratio Chart : Percentage Chart : Conversion Chart
This percentage poker odds chart highlights the percentage chance of completing your draw based on the number of outs you have at different points in a hand. The odds of completing your draw have been rounded to 1 decimal place in this percentage chart.
You will flop a set or better 11.8% of the time (7.5 to 1). If you flop your set, you will fill up (make a full house) or make quads on the turn or river 33.4% of the time as well. Suited: Pocket cards that are suited have a significant advantage over unsuited cards of the same numeric value. Obviously flopping four of a kind doesn’t happen every hard of online poker and given this you need to honor the percentages of Pre-Flop Texas Holdem Poker Strategy and in turn be quite conservative in your Starting Hand selection. You are going to throw away 4-8 and the flop will come 8-8-4 but that’s poker. You just have to deal with it. Think of pre-flop poker as a pie chart. If you limp on the button with JsTs and the big blind gets to see the flop for free with A♥2♣, he will win the pot roughly 51% of the time. The amount of the time that he will win the pot is called his equity. Texas Holdem Heads-Up Preflop Odds. This table was created by enumerating through every possible. Average poker winning percentages, which is what hand strength is based on, certainly aren’t everything, but it’s half of the pre-flop puzzle. If you can have a general set of starting hand guidelines (i.e. What you’ll play from what position) that are rooted in hand strength you can make more automatic pre-flop.
Look below the table for more information on how to use the percentage odds chart.
Percentage odds chart.
| Outs | 1 Card To Come (flop) | 1 Card To Come (turn) | 2 Cards To Come (flop) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 8.4% |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.5% | 12.5% |
| 4 (gutshot) | 8.5% | 8.7% | 16.5% |
| 5 | 10.6% | 10.9% | 20.4% |
| 6 | 12.8% | 13.0% | 24.1% |
| 7 | 14.9% | 15.2% | 27.8% |
| 8 (straight) | 17.0% | 17.4% | 31.5% |
| 9 (flush) | 19.1% | 19.6% | 35.0% |
| 10 | 21.3% | 21.7% | 38.4% |
| 11 | 23.4% | 23.9% | 41.7% |
| 12 | 25.5% | 26.1% | 45.0% |
| 13 | 27.7% | 28.3% | 48.1% |
| 14 | 29.8% | 30.4% | 51.2% |
| 15 (s + f) | 31.9% | 32.6% | 54.1% |
| 16 | 34.0% | 34.8% | 57.0% |
| 17 | 36.2% | 37.0% | 59.8% |
| 18 | 38.3% | 39.1% | 62.4% |
| 19 | 40.4% | 41.3% | 65.0% |
| 20 | 42.6% | 43.5% | 67.5% |
| 21 | 44.7% | 45.7% | 69.9% |
| 22 | 46.8% | 47.8% | 72.2% |
Percentage table key.
- Gutshot - A straight draw with only one card able to complete it. e.g. 6-8 on a 5-9-Q board (only a 7 completes).
- Straight - A standard open-ended straight draw with more outs. e.g. 6-8 on a 5-7-Q board (4 and 9 complete).
- Flush - A hand where another card of the same suit is needed to complete the draw.
- s + f - Both an open ended straight draw and flush combined. e.g. 6 8 on a 5 7 Q board.
How to use the percentage odds chart.
- Work out the number of outs you have (use the colours to help guide you).
- Look up the percentage odds of completing your draw depending on whether you are on the flop or turn.
That's simple enough, but why are there 2 columns for percentage odds on the flop? The first 2 columns with 1 card to come are the odds that you should be using most frequently. These are the standard odds that assume we could potentially face another bet on the next betting round.
The last 2 cards to come column is for when you or your opponent are being placed all in on the flop. Therefore, because you do not expect to have to call another bet or raise on future betting rounds, you can now use these improved odds for seeing 2 cards instead of 1.
If you can't remember or figure out the percentage odds of completing your draw in the middle of hand, try using the rule of 4 and 2 as a rough guide. It's a great little shortcut for percentage odds.
How to turn a percentage in to a ratio.
Divide 100 by the percentage. Then take 1 away from that number and you will have x to 1.
So for example, if you have a flush draw on the turn, the percentage chance of completing your draw is 19.6% (let's call it 20%).
- 100 / 20 = 5.
- 5 - 1 = 4.
- So the ratio is 4 to 1.
It is a good idea to round the percentages to a number that you can easily divide in to 100 to help keep the working out as simple as possible.
Quick percentage odds chart example.
If you have 12 outs to make the winning hand on the flop, you should only call a bet that is equal to 25.5% of the total pot, which is roughly 25%.
So for example, lets say that our opponent has bet $50 in to a $100 pot making it $150. Because we are using the percentage method, we have to add our own potential call of $50 to create a total pot size of $200 - don't forget this! Therefore, based on this final pot size of $200 we can call up to 25% of this amount, which turns out to be $50 anyway. It's a bit tricky, but just as long as you add your own potential call to create the final pot size you will be fine.
For more information on working out percentage odds with drawing hands, see the pot odds article.
Go back to the poker odds charts.
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Understanding Probability In Texas Holdem Is An Essential Aspect Of Profitable Play
– Pre-Flop Probability Guide
Pre Flop Poker Odds
Ever wondered how often you will be dealt Aces? Or what the chances of facing an over-pair are when you hold Jack-Jack? This section of the site will give you the probability of certain hands before the flop (this page) and in later pages the chances of certain flops (for example one suit flop probability) and the chances of dominating hands being out there to your ace-x hand (where x is one of several small to medium cards).
We start by looking at how the cards in the deck can be dealt based on a random distribution of the 1326 ways of 2 cards falling and how often you’ll expect to be dealt certain hands. Then we take suitedness into account – since there are less ways of being dealt 2 suited cards. Later articles in this series will continue with the essential poker probability and card distribution stats you need.
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Firstly, where did the number 1326 come from? Well with 52 cards in the deck your first card is 1/52 this is then multiplied by 1/51 and the total divided by 2 (since it does not matter what order your cards are dealt in) giving 1326 combinations of all cards in any suit.
Of course suitedness is not often important, especially for low cards. The next question is then – what is the number of unique starting hands in Texas Holdem, not counting suits? The answer here is 169 unique hands.
Pre-Flop Poker Probability - 169 Distinct Starting Hands
Now we are getting somewhere. Next we can use the numbers above to work out what the probability of being dealt AA, KK (or in fact any pair) is. This is a case of taking the total number of possible hands and then seeing how many of these are your pair. We will take a pair of Kings as an example. Of the 1326 possible combinations there are 6 ways of being dealt this hand pre-flop. The 6 combinations possible are Kh-Kd, Kh-Kc, Kh-Ks, Kd-Kc, Kd-Ks and Kc-Ks.
6 / 1326 = 0.00435 or 221-to-1
So the chances of being dealt any specific pair are 221:1 against, in fact with 13 possible pairs the chances of being dealt any pair go up to 16-to-1 (there are 78 pair combinations from 1326 total).
Next we can look at unpaired hands, a specific example is the number of ways of being dealt Ace-king pre-flop. Here we have more possible combinations, since there are 8 cards that can be dealt first and then 3 remaining cards to make this hand (we will ignore suitedness for the moment). This gives 16 ways in which A-K can be dealt out of the 1326 combinations – a probability of 0.0121% or approximately 82-to-1. In fact this is the same for any unpaired hand when you ignore the suits.
Poker Hands Pre Flop Odds
Pre-Flop Poker Probability - Probability Of Hands Pre-Flop Chart
The reference table below gives probabilities of being dealt specific hands pre-flop: The next article in this series will look at the chances of being dealt hands at the same time as one or more opponent is dealt a higher hand – for example AA vs KK and AK vs QQ.
Pre-flop Hand | Odds | |
AA | 0.045 | Same for any pocket pair |
AK (any suits) | 0.012 | Any 2 cards not inc. suits |
AK (suited) | 0.003 | |
Pair 10-10 or better | 0.023 | 10-10, JJ, QQ, KK or AA |
AK, AQ or AJ | 0.036 | Suits not considered |
2 Suited Cards 10+ | 0.03 | |
Any Suited Connector | 0.039 | 23 suited or better |
2 Cards Jack + | 0.09 | Suits not considered |
Finally we can look at how combinations of pre-flop hands work, asking the question what is the probability of being dealt a playable hand for each position. We will use arbitary early, middle and late position combinations here to demonstrate – the actually hands you play is up to your personal style!
Position | Combinations | ||
Early Position | AA to JJ, AKo, AQs | 46 | 29:1 |
Early Mid Position | AA to 99, AQo+, AJs | 18:1 | |
Mid Position | 77+, A10o+ A8s+ KQ+ | 140 | 9,5:1 |
Late Position | 55+, A7+, QJo+, 78s+ | 5,5:1 |
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